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Mako Mining Corp.

WATCH

TSXV · Gold · Scored Apr 15, 2026

Composite Score 19/25
Management Skin-in-the-Game
3/5
CEO Akiba Leisman is the founder and has been the driving force behind Mako Mining's transformation from explorer to multi-asset producer. He holds approximately 1.4–1.7 million shares (~2% of shares outstanding), valued at roughly US$17M at recent prices — a meaningful personal stake in absolute dollar terms, but a relatively modest percentage of total float.

Overall insider ownership across all directors and officers sits at approximately 2% of total shares, with institutional investors holding a dominant ~49% of the company. The past 18 months showed net insider selling of ~251,000 shares (primarily from Leisman), which tempers alignment scoring despite the absolute dollar stake being real.

The management team has demonstrated strong capital allocation discipline: acquiring the Moss Mine for a net ~US$2M after capital recovery, acquiring Goldsource/Eagle Mountain via an all-stock deal, and completing the Elevation Gold debt acquisition for US$1.8M to gain leverage over the Mt. Hamilton Nevada asset — all while remaining debt-free with US$78M cash. This operational track record is strong. The low percentage insider ownership and recent net selling are the primary knock against this factor.
Project Geology Quality
4/5
San Albino is an operating, high-grade underground/open-pit gold mine in Nueva Segovia, Nicaragua — one of the highest-grade operations globally at ~6–12 g/t diluted feed grades. The October 2023 NI 43-101 resource (amended June 2024) shows Measured and Indicated resources of 250,200 oz Au at a diluted grade of 11.61 g/t and Inferred resources of 129,900 oz Au at 10.54 g/t (total M+I+I of ~380,100 oz Au). Note: no separate Proven or Probable Reserves have been publicly disclosed, and the technical report is classified as an 'advanced property' resource estimate — it is not a PEA, PFS, or FS, though the amended June 2024 filing added mining, infrastructure, and cost sections.

Beyond San Albino, the company holds the Moss Mine in Arizona (M&I 646,000 oz Au at 0.35 g/t + 6.8M oz Ag, at steady-state production; NI 43-101 effective December 2025), the Eagle Mountain project in Guyana (1.18M oz Indicated at 1.18 g/t, PEA-stage, 15-year projected mine life), and the Mt. Hamilton project in Nevada (acquired March 2026, tungsten/gold/silver, construction-stage). The Las Conchitas underground extension at San Albino received its MARENA mining permit in late 2025 and is planned at 150–250 tpd, extending mine life.

Score of 4 reflects that San Albino is a producing mine with a strong high-grade M&I resource base and a meaningful exploration pipeline, upgraded from a pure PEA score because the asset is actively generating cash at industry-leading margins. The absence of formal P&P Reserves or an FS on San Albino is the factor preventing a score of 5.
Capital Structure Health
5/5
Capital structure is exceptionally clean for a company of this size and growth ambition. As of year-end 2025: approximately 87.5 million common shares outstanding, zero warrants (the last 44,000 warrants at C$2.50 expired unexercised May 2025), ~1.47 million share purchase options, ~800K RSUs, and ~370K DSUs. The total fully diluted share count is approximately 90.1 million — a tight structure.

The company is entirely debt-free at year-end 2025 with US$78.1M in cash (C$~109M), even after completing two material acquisitions (Moss Mine and Elevation Gold debt/Mt. Hamilton) in the same year. At Q3 2025 the cash balance was US$66M, rising to US$78M by year-end — demonstrating self-funded growth from operating cash flow. With US$28.3M in Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA alone, the company has ample runway to self-fund Mt. Hamilton construction (US$40M funded initially via Sailfish Royalty stream) without equity dilution. Maximum capital score: no debt, no warrants, ~87.5M tight share count, US$78M cash.
Catalyst Proximity
4/5
Near-term catalyst stack is substantial and multi-asset. Mt. Hamilton (Nevada) closed its acquisition in March 2026 and construction is underway, with first gold pour targeted for H2 2026 — a binary production catalyst with a defined timeline. Management has guided for a record Q1 2026, with Moss Mine at steady-state (targeted ~40,000 oz/yr) and San Albino continuing throughput growth toward the MARENA-permitted 1,000 tpd.

Additional near-term catalysts include: Las Conchitas underground mining commencing (underground permit received late 2025, 150–250 tpd planned); El Golfo vein extension drill results (extending strike length to 630m with intercepts including 18.34 g/t Au over 4.2m ETW); Eagle Mountain ESIA submitted to Guyana EPA in March 2026, setting the stage for a mineral agreement and construction decision; and the company's NASDAQ listing (MAKOF) expanding investor access. Score of 4: no formal 2026 annual production guidance published in press materials prevents a top score.
Comparable Acquisition Value
3/5
At approximately C$9.95/share and ~87.5M shares, the enterprise value is approximately US$543M (market cap US$621M less US$78M cash). Against 2025 production of 41,686 oz Au, this implies an EV/production oz of ~US$13,025/oz — a high multiple by historic junior producer standards (typically US$2,000–6,000/oz), which reflects the premium grade of San Albino and the gold price environment at US$3,100+/oz.

For a NAV-based check: a rough consolidated NAV (San Albino DCF at 7% discount on 8-year M&I mine life ~US$280M, Moss Mine M&I resource risked ~US$80M, Eagle Mountain PEA risked ~US$100M, cash US$78M) sums to approximately US$538M, or roughly C$8.64/share at 1.40 CAD/USD. The current price of C$9.95 implies a P/NAV of approximately 1.15x — a modest premium to this analyst-constructed NAV. With no formal FS NAV to apply the standard discount framework to, the stock appears fairly valued to slightly rich on an EV/oz basis for a producing mine in a geopolitically elevated jurisdiction. The EV/EBITDA of ~7.5x is reasonable for a growing producer. Score of 3 pending a formal FS or updated reserve-based NAV.
Analyst Summary

Mako Mining has completed a remarkable transformation: from a single-asset Nicaraguan explorer into a four-asset, debt-free, cash-generating gold producer generating US$148.5M in revenue and US$28.3M in a single quarter of EBITDA. The San Albino mine in Nicaragua — which produces at some of the highest diluted grades globally (~6–12 g/t) — remains the earnings engine, and the company has parlayed that cash flow into a diversified Americas portfolio without meaningful dilution or leverage. Composite score: 19/25 — WATCH.

The geology is genuinely compelling at San Albino (250,200 oz M&I at 11.61 g/t; 129,900 oz Inferred at 10.54 g/t per October 2023 NI 43-101 resource estimate — note: no formal Proven/Probable Reserves or FS have been published, keeping the study level at resource estimate/advanced property). The capital structure is one of the cleanest in the junior space: 87.5M shares, zero warrants, zero debt, US$78M cash. Near-term catalysts are real and time-bound: Mt. Hamilton first gold pour H2 2026, Las Conchitas underground ramp-up, Moss Mine at steady-state, El Golfo drilling ongoing.

The WATCH verdict reflects two overhangs: (1) Nicaragua country risk — political and regulatory exposure to the Ortega government, U.S. sanctions risk, and MARENA permit dependency are non-trivial for a company generating >60% of earnings from a single Central American jurisdiction; and (2) current valuation. At C$9.95, the stock trades at approximately 1.15x our analyst-constructed NAV (~C$8.64/share) and an EV/production oz of ~US$13,000 — not cheap by conventional standards. Watch for a pullback toward the C$7.50–8.50 range (0.9–1.0x NAV) as a better entry point, or await a formal Feasibility Study and Reserve declaration that would justify a re-rating.

Valuation
NAV / Share C$8.6400
Price at Scoring C$10.4900
P/NAV Multiple 1.21x

Reference: explorers 0.1–0.3x · acquisition range 0.5–1.0x

Company
Exchange / Ticker
TSXV:MKO
Jurisdiction
Nicaragua
Primary Commodity
Gold
Website
https://www.makominingcorp.com

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